Closes above the open?
reads TWAP at the close
One betting table per question about a coin. Two pots, one deadline, one value read off the chain. The winning side splits the entire pot: no house, no counterparty, no price to quote.
Prototype · simulated pots · no real money at risk
Pick a side and a stake. The multiplier you see is the one you lock in at the moment you bet — the thinner your side of the pot, the more it pays. Real assets and real question types; the pots on this prototype are simulated.
Two pots go in. One pot comes out, split by what each winner put in.
Move the pot balance and watch what a 100 USDG bet returns. This is the whole mechanism — there is nothing else underneath it.
You stake 100 USDG on the side selected below. Everything else follows from division.
Every table is a binary with a deadline and one deterministic read. Nothing subjective gets on the board.
reads TWAP at the close
reads last-trade timestamp
reads holder accumulator
reads volume accumulator
reads balance delta at the burn address
No vibes, no "was it a good week", no committee. If the chain does not already know it, the table cannot settle it.
One contract per table. Deployed by whoever asks the question, owned by nobody, never pausable.
One block of buying moves the tick and nothing else. The window average barely notices.
If a side never clears its minimum the round does not run — everybody is refunded in full.
The gap between the two timestamps is the security model: nobody can bet on a known result.